La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-06-15 14:55 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 43.79%2.28quota equa
EV -0.161%
Vantaggio -0.070%
Kelly -0.125%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%43.77%43.82%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.34%46.30%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.21%1.78quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%56.23%56.18%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.44%59.52%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:51
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 14:51
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 14:49
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 14:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:50
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:51
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:50
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:51
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:51
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:51
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:50
Betsson2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:51
NordicBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:50
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:51
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:50
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:51
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:51
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-15 14:51
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-06-15 14:51
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%2.2%2026-06-15 14:50