La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.161%
Ventaja -0.070%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.77%43.82%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.34%46.30%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 56.21%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.23%56.18%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.44%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| NordicBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53% | 2.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |