Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe

Начало: 2026-06-15 14:55 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

44%

56%

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.79%2.28справедливый коэффициент

EV -0.161%

Преимущество -0.070%

Kelly -0.125%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.28

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

41.86%43.77%43.82%45.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.34%46.30%43.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Гости)

Прогноз 56.21%1.78справедливый коэффициент

EV -1.63%

Преимущество -0.932%

Kelly -2.17%

Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор

54.55%56.23%56.18%58.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Распределение коэффициентов

1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.44%59.52%57.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева ▼	Гости	Маржа	Обновлено
BetOnline.ag	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
LowVig.ag	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-06-15 14:50
Pinnacle	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-15 14:51
Winamax (DE)	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-15 14:49
Caesars	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-15 14:50
1xBet	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
DraftKings	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-15 14:51
Marathon Bet	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-15 14:50
Bovada	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-15 14:49
Sky Bet	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-15 14:50
betfred_uk	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-15 14:49
Winamax (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-15 14:50
FanDuel	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-15 14:50
Coolbet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
LeoVegas	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
LeoVegas (SE)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (SE)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
BetRivers	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
Grosvenor	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
Casumo	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
PMU (FR)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
TABtouch	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
Unibet (NL)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
Virgin Bet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
LiveScore Bet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Bally Bet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Svenska Spel	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
ATG (SE)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
betPARX	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
NetBet (FR)	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.30%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-15 14:50
Fanatics	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-15 14:50
ReBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Right	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-15 14:50
Dabble (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-15 14:51
BetAnything	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-15 14:50
BetUS	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betr (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-15 14:50
Hard Rock Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-15 14:50
BetMGM	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-15 14:51
Coral	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betsson	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-15 14:51
NordicBet	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-15 14:50
PlayUp	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-15 14:50
GTbets	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-15 14:51
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-15 14:50
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
PointsBet (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-15 14:50
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-15 14:49
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-15 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-15 14:51
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Victor	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-15 14:50
Fliff	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-15 14:50
Neds	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-15 14:51
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-15 14:51
Tipico (DE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-15 14:50

Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контора	Хозяева	Гости	Маржа ▲	Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	0.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	0.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	0.6%	2026-06-15 14:50
Matchbook	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	0.6%	2026-06-15 14:51
Smarkets	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%	1.4%	2026-06-15 14:51
Novig	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%	2.2%	2026-06-15 14:50