مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe

البداية: 2026-06-15 14:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.79%2.28السعر العادل
EV -0.161%
الأفضلية -0.070%
Kelly -0.125%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.86%43.77%43.82%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.34%46.30%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Frances Tiafoe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.21%1.78السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.55%56.23%56.18%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.44%59.52%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:51
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 14:51
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 14:49
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 14:50
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:50
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:51
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:51
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:50
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:50
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:51
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:51
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:51
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 14:50
Betsson2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:51
NordicBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:50
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:51
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:51
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:50
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:51
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:51
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-15 14:51
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 14:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-15 14:51
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-06-15 14:51
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%2.2%2026-06-15 14:50