Language:English
Fabian Marozsan v Taylor Fritz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%22.21%22.22%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.384.454.8026.32%22.85%22.47%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visit)
Prediction 77.75%1.29fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.79%77.78%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.2685.47%82.66%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fabian Marozsan (Local): 22.25%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 77.75%. For Fabian Marozsan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 32 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +6.79%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.121% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +5.68%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.086% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 09:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.57%E +0.971%K +1.23%G +0.056% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -2.03%E -1.61%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |