La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Taylor Fritz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 22.25%4.49momio equitativo
EV +6.79%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.17%22.21%22.22%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.384.454.8026.32%22.85%22.47%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Taylor Fritz (Visitante)
Predicción 77.75%1.29momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -7.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.25%77.79%77.78%79.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.201.2685.47%82.66%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +6.79%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.121% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +5.68%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.086% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 09:28 |
| FanDuel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.57%E +0.971%K +1.23%G +0.056% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bally Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 1xBet | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Everygame | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| GTbets | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -2.03%E -1.61%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |