Język:Polski
Fabian Marozsan v Taylor Fritz
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 22.25%4.49kurs godziwy
EV +6.79%
Przewaga +1.41%
Kelly +1.79%
Wzrost +0.121%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.17%22.21%22.22%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.384.454.8026.32%22.85%22.47%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Taylor Fritz (Goście)
Prognoza 77.75%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -2.03%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -7.82%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%77.79%77.78%79.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.211.201.2685.47%82.66%83.33%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze): 22.25%; Taylor Fritz (Goście): 77.75%. Dla wyniku Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.49. 32 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +6.79%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.121% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +5.68%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.086% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 09:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.57%E +0.971%K +1.23%G +0.056% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -2.03%E -1.61%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 09:30 |