默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fabian Marozsan v Taylor Fritz

开赛时间: 2026-06-18 09:34 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fabian Marozsan (主队)

预测 22.25%4.49公平赔率
EV +6.79%
优势 +1.41%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.121%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
20.17%22.21%22.22%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.384.454.8026.32%22.85%22.47%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

Taylor Fritz (客队)

预测 77.75%1.29公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -7.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.26

博彩公司预测分布
75.25%77.79%77.78%79.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.201.2685.47%82.66%83.33%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fabian Marozsan (主队):22.25%;Taylor Fritz (客队):77.75%。 对于“Fabian Marozsan (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.49。 当时有32家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.80,对应+6.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +6.79%E +1.41%K +1.79%G +0.121%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +5.68%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.086%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 09:28
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +4.57%E +0.971%K +1.23%G +0.056%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 09:29
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:30
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.650%G +0.015%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 09:30
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 09:29
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 09:30
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 09:30
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:29
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:29
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:29
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:29
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 09:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.03%E -7.72%K -53.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 09:30
1xBet🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -3.44%E -0.794%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:29
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.92%E -4.89%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 09:30
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.67%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 09:30
Everygame🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.25%E -6.99%K -45.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 09:29
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 09:30
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 09:30
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 09:30
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:30
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 09:30
GTbets🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.16%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.84%EV -2.03%E -1.61%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 09:29
DraftKings🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.00%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.36%E -3.55%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 09:30
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 09:30
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 09:30
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:29
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.59%E -2.89%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 09:30
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 09:30
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.70%E -5.58%K -33.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 09:30
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.14%E -4.22%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.81%E -2.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 09:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-06-18 09:30
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-06-18 09:30
Novig4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%4.8%2026-06-18 09:30