Language:English
Tomas Machac v Zizou Bergs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Machac (Local)
Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.02%55.84%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.05%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Visit)
Prediction 44.11%2.27fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.98%44.16%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.152.142.2749.26%46.54%46.73%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Machac (Local): 55.89%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 44.11%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.267. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.270, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.139%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV +0.139%E +0.061%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 11:16 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 11:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 11:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 11:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.04%E -2.83%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 11:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 11:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -10.45%E -5.15%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |