La scuola delle quote

Tomas Machac v Zizou Bergs

Inizio: 2026-05-24 11:28 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tomas Machac (Casa)

Previsione 55.89%1.79quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.69%56.02%55.84%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.05%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zizou Bergs (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.11%2.27quota equa
EV +0.139%
Vantaggio +0.061%
Kelly +0.109%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%43.98%44.16%45.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.032.152.142.2749.26%46.54%46.73%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV +0.139%E +0.061%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:20
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 11:15
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:09
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 11:20
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:16
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:13
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:11
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:09
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:14
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.04%E -2.83%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 11:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:08
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:18
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -10.45%E -5.15%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-24 11:20
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%3.1%2026-05-24 11:20