L’École des cotes

Tomas Machac v Zizou Bergs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 11:28 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Prévision 55.89%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%56.02%55.84%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.05%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zizou Bergs (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.11%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.139%
Avantage +0.061%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%43.98%44.16%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.032.152.142.2749.26%46.54%46.73%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV +0.139%E +0.061%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:20
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 11:15
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:09
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 11:20
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:16
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:13
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:11
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:09
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:14
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.04%E -2.83%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 11:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:08
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:18
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -10.45%E -5.15%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-24 11:20
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%3.1%2026-05-24 11:20