مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Machac v Zizou Bergs

البداية: 2026-05-24 11:28 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Machac (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.89%1.79السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -2.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.69%56.02%55.84%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.05%58.82%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zizou Bergs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.11%2.27السعر العادل
EV +0.139%
الأفضلية +0.061%
Kelly +0.109%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.86%43.98%44.16%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.032.152.142.2749.26%46.54%46.73%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV +0.139%E +0.061%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:10
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:20
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 11:15
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 11:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:09
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 11:20
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:15
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:16
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:13
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:11
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:16
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:09
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:14
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:19
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.20%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.04%E -2.83%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 11:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 11:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:16
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:08
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:19
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:18
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.02%E -6.23%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.01%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -10.45%E -5.15%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-24 11:20
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%3.1%2026-05-24 11:20