Language:English
Stan Wawrinka v Jesper De Jong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV +6.62%
Edge +2.50%
Kelly +4.01%
Growth +0.266%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%40.19%40.13%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.80%42.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Visit)
Prediction 59.77%1.67fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.81%59.87%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.571.6469.93%64.29%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stan Wawrinka (Local): 40.23%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 59.77%. For Stan Wawrinka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +6.62%E +2.50%K +4.01%G +0.266% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -11.55%E -7.80%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:17 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.39%E +0.551%K +0.914%G +0.013% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.34%E -9.20%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -14.53%E -10.16%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.78%E -2.35%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.98%E -1.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 10:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.16%E -6.02%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.67%E -3.82%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |