مدرسة الاحتمالات

Stan Wawrinka v Jesper De Jong

البداية: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Stan Wawrinka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.23%2.49السعر العادل
EV +6.62%
الأفضلية +2.50%
Kelly +4.01%
النمو +0.266%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.84%40.19%40.13%42.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.80%42.02%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jesper De Jong (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.77%1.67السعر العادل
EV -1.98%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -3.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.69%59.81%59.87%64.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.561.571.6469.93%64.29%63.69%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +6.62%E +2.50%K +4.01%G +0.266%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -11.55%E -7.80%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:17
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:20
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.39%E +0.551%K +0.914%G +0.013%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.34%E -9.20%K -29.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 10:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:19
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:18
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:13
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -14.53%E -10.16%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 11:20
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 11:09
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 10:59
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:00
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:14
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 11:20
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.78%E -2.35%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 10:58
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.98%E -1.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 10:53
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.16%E -6.02%K -17.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 11:18
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.67%E -3.82%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 11:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%0.3%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%3.2%2026-05-25 11:20