A Escola das Odds

Stan Wawrinka v Jesper De Jong

Início: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Stan Wawrinka (Local)

Previsão 40.23%2.49odd justa
EV +6.62%
Vantagem +2.50%
Kelly +4.01%
Crescimento +0.266%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.84%40.19%40.13%42.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.80%42.02%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jesper De Jong (Visitante)

Previsão 59.77%1.67odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.69%59.81%59.87%64.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.561.571.6469.93%64.29%63.69%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +6.62%E +2.50%K +4.01%G +0.266%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -11.55%E -7.80%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:17
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:20
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.39%E +0.551%K +0.914%G +0.013%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.34%E -9.20%K -29.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 10:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:19
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:18
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:13
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:00
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -14.53%E -10.16%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 11:20
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 11:09
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 10:59
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 10:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:00
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:14
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 11:20
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.78%E -2.35%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 10:58
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.98%E -1.21%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 10:53
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.16%E -6.02%K -17.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 11:18
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.67%E -3.82%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%0.3%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-05-25 11:20
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%3.2%2026-05-25 11:20