La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stan Wawrinka v Jesper De Jong
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Predicción 40.23%2.49momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +2.50%
Kelly +4.01%
Crecimiento +0.266%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.84%40.19%40.13%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.80%42.02%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jesper De Jong (Visitante)
Predicción 59.77%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.81%59.87%64.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.6469.93%64.29%63.69%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +6.62%E +2.50%K +4.01%G +0.266% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -11.55%E -7.80%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:17 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.39%E +0.551%K +0.914%G +0.013% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.34%E -9.20%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:13 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -14.53%E -10.16%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.78%E -2.35%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.98%E -1.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 10:53 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.16%E -6.02%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.67%E -3.82%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Novig | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |