L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Stan Wawrinka v Jesper De Jong
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stan Wawrinka (Local)
Prévision 40.23%2.49cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +2.50%
Kelly +4.01%
Croissance +0.266%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.84%40.19%40.13%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.392.382.6547.62%41.80%42.02%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jesper De Jong (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.77%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.81%59.87%64.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.571.6469.93%64.29%63.69%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +6.62%E +2.50%K +4.01%G +0.266% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -11.55%E -7.80%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:17 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +4.61%E +1.77%K +2.88%G +0.133% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -10.95%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +2.60%E +1.02%K +1.68%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +1.79%E +0.708%K +1.17%G +0.021% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +1.39%E +0.551%K +0.914%G +0.013% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV +0.585%E +0.234%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -13.34%E -9.20%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -1.43%E -0.582%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -12.14%E -8.26%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:13 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -3.44%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -14.53%E -10.16%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.65%E -1.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.85%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.78%E -2.35%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 10:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.06%E -3.06%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.98%E -1.21%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 10:53 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.97%E -3.13%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.16%E -6.02%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -8.67%E -3.82%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -3.18%E -1.96%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.17%E -3.93%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -5.57%E -3.53%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Novig | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |