The School of Odds

Sebastian Ofner v Luciano Darderi

Matchstart: 2026-05-26 16:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (Hemma)

Prognos 26.15%3.82rättvist odds
EV +3.04%
Fördel +0.772%
Kelly +1.03%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.67%26.07%26.10%27.66%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.81%27.78%25.38%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Luciano Darderi (Borta)

Prognos 73.85%1.35rättvist odds
EV -3.26%
Fördel -2.49%
Kelly -10.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.34%73.93%73.90%75.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +3.04%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.031%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 15:50
BetOnline.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:50
LowVig.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 16:10
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:39
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:40
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:00
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 16:10
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
DraftKings3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:10
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 16:09
MyBookie.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 16:10
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:50
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:49
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:49
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:38
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:38
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:39
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:40
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:39
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:49
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:49
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 15:39
GTbets3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.63%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:39
SportsBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:01
FanDuel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:09
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:50
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:50
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 16:02
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:10
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 15:58
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 16:10
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.79%1.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-05-26 15:50