مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Sebastian Ofner v Luciano Darderi
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Sebastian Ofner (المضيف)
التنبؤ 26.15%3.82السعر العادل
EV +3.04%
الأفضلية +0.772%
Kelly +1.03%
النمو +0.031%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.94
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.67%26.07%26.10%27.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.81%27.78%25.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Luciano Darderi (الضيف)
التنبؤ 73.85%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.26%
الأفضلية -2.49%
Kelly -10.52%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.34%73.93%73.90%75.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +3.04%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.031% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| GTbets | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.63%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 16:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 16:02 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 15:58 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Novig | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.79% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |