La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sebastian Ofner v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Ofner (Casa)
Previsione 26.15%3.82quota equa
EV +3.04%
Vantaggio +0.772%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.67%26.07%26.10%27.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.81%27.78%25.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 73.85%1.35quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -2.49%
Kelly -10.52%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.34%73.93%73.90%75.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +3.04%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.031% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| GTbets | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.63%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 16:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 16:02 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 15:58 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Novig | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.79% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |