La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sebastian Ofner v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sebastian Ofner (Local)
Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.772%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.67%26.07%26.10%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.81%27.78%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 73.85%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -10.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%73.93%73.90%75.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +3.04%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.031% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:38 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 15:49 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| GTbets | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.63%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 16:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| Everygame | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:39 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 16:02 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 15:58 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Novig | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.79% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 15:50 |