Школа коэффициентов

Sebastian Ofner v Luciano Darderi

Начало: 2026-05-26 16:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (Хозяева)

Прогноз 26.15%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.04%
Преимущество +0.772%
Kelly +1.03%
Рост +0.031%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.94

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.67%26.07%26.10%27.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.81%27.78%25.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Luciano Darderi (Гости)

Прогноз 73.85%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.26%
Преимущество -2.49%
Kelly -10.52%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.31

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.34%73.93%73.90%75.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +3.04%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.031%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 15:50
BetOnline.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:50
LowVig.ag3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.600%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:50
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.619%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 16:10
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:39
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:40
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.93%E -0.514%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.19%E -0.585%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:00
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 16:10
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.23%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:50
DraftKings3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:10
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 16:09
MyBookie.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 16:10
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:50
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:49
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.33%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:49
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:38
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:38
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:39
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:40
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:39
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:49
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:49
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 15:39
GTbets3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%EV -6.63%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:39
SportsBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:01
FanDuel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 16:09
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 15:50
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:40
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 15:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 15:50
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 16:02
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:10
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.48%E -4.28%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.08%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.74%E -3.67%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 15:58
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 16:10
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 16:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:10
Novig4.07I 24.57%NM 24.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.79%1.5%2026-05-26 16:00
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-05-26 15:50