Language:English
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Prediction 47.41%2.11fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.38%47.37%48.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.06%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit)
Prediction 52.59%1.90fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.04%52.62%52.63%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.33%55.25%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local): 47.41%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit): 52.59%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.87%E -0.903%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |