La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Casa)
Previsione 47.41%2.11quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.903%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.91%47.38%47.37%48.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.06%50.00%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)
Previsione 52.59%1.90quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.598%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.04%52.62%52.63%54.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.33%55.25%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.87%E -0.903%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Betsson | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:46 |
| Neds | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |