A Escola das Odds

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Início: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)

Previsão 47.41%2.11odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.38%47.37%48.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.06%50.00%48.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 52.59%1.90odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.598%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.04%52.62%52.63%54.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.33%55.25%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.87%E -0.903%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 08:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 08:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 08:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:39
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 07:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 07:50
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:30
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 07:39
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 06:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 07:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 08:30
NordicBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Betsson1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:40
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 08:00
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 08:30
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 08:46
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:30
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 07:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 07:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%3.0%2026-05-24 08:40