Idioma:Português
Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)
Previsão 47.41%2.11odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.38%47.37%48.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.06%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Previsão 52.59%1.90odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.598%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.04%52.62%52.63%54.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.33%55.25%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local): 47.41%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 52.59%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.88, com valor esperado de -1.12%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.87%E -0.903%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 02:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |