Die Wettquotenschule

Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Heim)

Prognose 47.41%2.11faire Quote
EV -1.87%
Vorteil -0.903%
Kelly -1.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.91%47.38%47.37%48.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.002.002.0752.36%50.06%50.00%48.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.59%1.90faire Quote
EV -1.12%
Vorteil -0.598%
Kelly -1.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.04%52.62%52.63%54.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.33%55.25%53.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.87%E -0.903%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 08:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 08:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 08:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:39
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.49%E -4.88%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 07:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 07:50
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:30
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.23%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 07:39
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 06:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 07:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.19%E -2.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.01%E -5.21%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 08:30
NordicBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Betsson1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:40
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 07:49
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.66%E -2.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 08:00
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.38%E -3.59%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 08:30
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.81%E -2.66%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.61%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.86%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 08:46
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:30
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 02:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 07:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 07:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%3.0%2026-05-24 08:40