Language:English
Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Prediction 58.56%1.71fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fabian Marozsan (Visit)
Prediction 41.44%2.41fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 58.56%; Fabian Marozsan (Visit): 41.44%. For Fabian Marozsan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 07:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 17:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 08:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |