A Escola das Odds

Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan

Início: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)

Previsão 58.56%1.71odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)

Previsão 41.44%2.41odd justa
EV +1.54%
Vantagem +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016%3.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:46
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 12:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 09:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 14:29
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 17:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 14:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 21:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 07:59
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 08:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 08:50