StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miomir Kecmanovic (Heim)

Prognose 58.56%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.63%
Vorteil -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.44%2.41faire Quote
EV +1.54%
Vorteil +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miomir Kecmanovic (Heim): 58.56%; Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts): 41.44%. Für Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.41. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.45 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.54%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016%3.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:46
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 12:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 09:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 21:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 07:59
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:19
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 08:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 08:50