مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan

البداية: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miomir Kecmanovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.56%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fabian Marozsan (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.44%2.41السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016%3.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:46
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 12:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 09:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 14:29
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 17:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 14:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 21:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 07:59
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 08:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 08:50