La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Miomir Kecmanovic (Casa)
Previsione 58.56%1.71quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.44%2.41quota equa
EV +1.54%
Vantaggio +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.016%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 08:46 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 07:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 07:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 07:59 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 17:19 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 08:00 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 08:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 08:08 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |