Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Fabian Marozsan

Inizio: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miomir Kecmanovic (Casa)

Previsione 58.56%1.71quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.62%58.56%58.68%60.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.53%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.44%2.41quota equa
EV +1.54%
Vantaggio +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.36%41.44%41.32%42.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.282.272.4545.45%43.79%43.96%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miomir Kecmanovic (Casa): 58.56%; Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta): 41.44%. Per Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.41. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.45, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.54%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016%3.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.36%E -0.573%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 08:46
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.750%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 14:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 12:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.63%E -0.968%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:09
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 09:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 21:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 08:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.92%E -2.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 07:59
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 08:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:19
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 08:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 08:49
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 08:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 08:50