Language:English
Matteo Berrettini v Francisco Comesana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%66.26%65.99%67.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.5071.43%69.77%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visit)
Prediction 33.84%2.96fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%33.74%34.01%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.803.0139.22%35.68%35.71%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 66.16%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 33.84%. For Francisco Comesana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +1.85%E +0.615%K +0.921%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.55%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 11:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.67%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |