StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Matteo Berrettini v Francisco Comesana

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-30 11:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Matteo Berrettini (Heim)

Prognose 66.16%1.51faire Quote
EV -0.756%
Vorteil -0.504%
Kelly -1.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.96%66.26%65.99%67.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.431.441.5071.43%69.77%69.44%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Comesana (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.84%2.96faire Quote
EV +1.85%
Vorteil +0.615%
Kelly +0.921%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.01

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.12%33.74%34.01%37.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.552.802.803.0139.22%35.68%35.71%33.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Matteo Berrettini (Heim): 66.16%; Francisco Comesana (Auswärts): 33.84%. Für Francisco Comesana (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.96. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.01 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.85%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +1.85%E +0.615%K +0.921%G +0.017%2.7%2026-05-30 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:39
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.55%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 11:38
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:31
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.67%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-05-30 11:40