Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Matteo Berrettini v Francisco Comesana

Início: 2026-05-30 11:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Matteo Berrettini (Local)

Previsão 66.16%1.51odd justa
EV -0.756%
Vantagem -0.504%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.96%66.26%65.99%67.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.431.441.5071.43%69.77%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Comesana (Visitante)

Previsão 33.84%2.96odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.615%
Kelly +0.921%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.12%33.74%34.01%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.802.803.0139.22%35.68%35.71%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 66.16%; Francisco Comesana (Visitante): 33.84%. Para Francisco Comesana (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +1.85%E +0.615%K +0.921%G +0.017%2.7%2026-05-30 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:39
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.55%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 11:38
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:31
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:29
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.67%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-05-30 11:40