مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Berrettini v Francisco Comesana

البداية: 2026-05-30 11:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.16%1.51السعر العادل
EV -0.756%
الأفضلية -0.504%
Kelly -1.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.96%66.26%65.99%67.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.431.441.5071.43%69.77%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Comesana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.84%2.96السعر العادل
EV +1.85%
الأفضلية +0.615%
Kelly +0.921%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.12%33.74%34.01%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.802.803.0139.22%35.68%35.71%33.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +1.85%E +0.615%K +0.921%G +0.017%2.7%2026-05-30 11:40
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:39
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 11:34
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.55%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:40
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 11:38
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:39
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:39
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:34
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:40
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 11:39
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:31
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:39
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:40
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:40
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:29
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:39
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:40
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.67%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 11:40
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-30 11:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-05-30 11:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-05-30 11:40