La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Francisco Comesana
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 66.16%1.51quota equa
EV -0.756%
Vantaggio -0.504%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.96%66.26%65.99%67.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.431.441.5071.43%69.77%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Francisco Comesana (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.84%2.96quota equa
EV +1.85%
Vantaggio +0.615%
Kelly +0.921%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.01
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.12%33.74%34.01%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.802.803.0139.22%35.68%35.71%33.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +1.85%E +0.615%K +0.921%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.836%E +0.281%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.87%E -0.645%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.55%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 11:38 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.56%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.74%E -1.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:31 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:29 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.39%E -3.77%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.05%E -4.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.73%E -3.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.37%E -5.27%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.67%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.756%E -0.504%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.71%E -5.38%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 11:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |