Language:English
Marin Cilic v Moise Kouame
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prediction 75.37%1.33fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.29%75.36%78.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.66%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Moise Kouame (Visit)
Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.172%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%24.71%24.64%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.783.804.3730.30%26.45%26.32%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marin Cilic (Local): 75.37%; Moise Kouame (Visit): 24.63%. For Moise Kouame (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +7.62%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.172% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV +4.42%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.43%E +0.817%K +1.07%G +0.037% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -1.99%E -0.499%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.46%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -4.45%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.73%E -5.68%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |