مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marin Cilic v Moise Kouame

البداية: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marin Cilic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.37%1.33السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -6.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.74%75.29%75.36%78.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.66%79.37%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Moise Kouame (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.63%4.06السعر العادل
EV +7.62%
الأفضلية +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
النمو +0.172%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.96%24.71%24.64%28.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.783.804.3730.30%26.45%26.32%22.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.70%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +7.62%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.172%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV +4.42%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060%2.9%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.43%E +0.817%K +1.07%G +0.037%4.5%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-26 09:10
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:58
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:05
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -1.99%E -0.499%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.46%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -4.45%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:08
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:08
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:06
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:07
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.73%E -5.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63%8.2%2026-05-26 09:10