L’École des cotes

Marin Cilic v Moise Kouame

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Prévision 75.37%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -6.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%75.29%75.36%78.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.66%79.37%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Moise Kouame (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.63%4.06cote équitable
EV +7.62%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.172%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.96%24.71%24.64%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.783.804.3730.30%26.45%26.32%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.70%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +7.62%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.172%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV +4.42%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060%2.9%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.43%E +0.817%K +1.07%G +0.037%4.5%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-26 09:10
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:58
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:05
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -1.99%E -0.499%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.46%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -4.45%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:08
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:08
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:06
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:07
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.73%E -5.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63%8.2%2026-05-26 09:10