La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marin Cilic v Moise Kouame
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marin Cilic (Local)
Predicción 75.37%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -6.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%75.29%75.36%78.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.66%79.37%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Moise Kouame (Visitante)
Predicción 24.63%4.06momio equitativo
EV +7.62%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Crecimiento +0.172%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.96%24.71%24.64%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.783.804.3730.30%26.45%26.32%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +7.62%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.172% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV +4.42%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.43%E +0.817%K +1.07%G +0.037% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -1.99%E -0.499%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.46%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -4.45%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 09:06 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.73%E -5.68%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |