A Escola das Odds

Marin Cilic v Moise Kouame

Início: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Previsão 75.37%1.33odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -6.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.74%75.29%75.36%78.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.66%79.37%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Moise Kouame (Visitante)

Previsão 24.63%4.06odd justa
EV +7.62%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Crescimento +0.172%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.96%24.71%24.64%28.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.783.804.3730.30%26.45%26.32%22.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.70%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV +7.62%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.172%4.2%2026-05-26 09:09
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV +4.42%E +1.04%K +1.36%G +0.060%2.9%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.43%E +0.817%K +1.07%G +0.037%4.5%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-26 09:10
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.970%E +0.237%K +0.313%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:58
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:05
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.49%E -0.373%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -1.99%E -0.499%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -3.46%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:08
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -4.45%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:08
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:04
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:09
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:10
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.11%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:08
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:06
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.57%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:07
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.28%E -3.37%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -13.81%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.77%E -2.15%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.01%E -1.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.73%E -5.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.63%8.2%2026-05-26 09:10