默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Sonego v Pierre-Hugues Herbert

开赛时间: 2026-05-24 18:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lorenzo Sonego (主队)

预测 63.93%1.56公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
62.03%63.76%63.88%65.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.63%67.57%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pierre-Hugues Herbert (客队)

预测 36.07%2.77公平赔率
EV -0.097%
优势 -0.035%
Kelly -0.055%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
34.52%36.24%36.12%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.652.652.7740.00%37.78%37.74%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Lorenzo Sonego (主队):63.93%;Pierre-Hugues Herbert (客队):36.07%。 对于“Pierre-Hugues Herbert (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.773。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.770,期望值为-0.097%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.54%E -1.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:00
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 17:59
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:58
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.097%E -0.035%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 17:58
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00