La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Sonego v Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Predicción 63.93%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.76%63.88%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.63%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Visitante)
Predicción 36.07%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.097%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.24%36.12%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.7740.00%37.78%37.74%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.54%E -1.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.097%E -0.035%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |