A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Sonego v Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Início: 2026-05-24 18:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 63.93%1.56odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.03%63.76%63.88%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.63%67.57%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Visitante)

Previsão 36.07%2.77odd justa
EV -0.097%
Vantagem -0.035%
Kelly -0.055%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.24%36.12%37.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.652.652.7740.00%37.78%37.74%36.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.54%E -1.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:00
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 17:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 17:59
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:58
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.097%E -0.035%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 17:58
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 17:59
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00