مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Sonego v Pierre-Hugues Herbert

البداية: 2026-05-24 18:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.93%1.56السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -1.00%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.03%63.76%63.88%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.481.481.5469.93%67.63%67.57%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pierre-Hugues Herbert (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.07%2.77السعر العادل
EV -0.097%
الأفضلية -0.035%
Kelly -0.055%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.24%36.12%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.652.652.7740.00%37.78%37.74%36.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -1.54%E -1.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:00
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 18:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.18%E -1.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.82%E -1.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 17:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 17:59
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.79%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:58
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.93%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.097%E -0.035%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.819%E -0.298%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 17:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 17:58
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 17:59
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.57%E -6.00%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.62%E -0.971%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-24 18:00