赔率学院

Joao Fonseca v Luka Pavlovic

开赛时间: 2026-05-24 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Joao Fonseca (主队)

预测 90.86%1.10公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -2.60%
Kelly -39.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
88.30%90.78%90.66%92.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.24%95.24%93.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Luka Pavlovic (客队)

预测 9.14%10.94公平赔率
EV +18.82%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +1.57%
增长率 +0.295%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.34%9.22%9.34%11.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
8.0010.1810.0013.0012.50%9.83%10.00%7.69%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295%3.8%2026-05-24 15:19
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.68%E +0.807%K +0.880%G +0.085%3.6%2026-05-24 15:20
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +7.85%E +0.666%K +0.727%G +0.057%2.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025%3.0%2026-05-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:09
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:07
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -2.20%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.03%E -0.384%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:09
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.31%E -0.616%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -6.77%E -0.664%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:10
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 90.44%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.03I 9.97%NM 9.56%EV -8.32%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:09
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:57
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:57
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:19
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 15:20
BetAnything1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.05%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:09
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:10
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.78%E -2.60%K -39.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:10
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.88%E -3.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37%3.9%2026-05-24 15:20