Język:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Luka Pavlovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 90.86%1.10kurs godziwy
EV -2.78%
Przewaga -2.60%
Kelly -39.72%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.07
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
88.30%90.78%90.66%92.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.24%95.24%93.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Luka Pavlovic (Goście)
Prognoza 9.14%10.94kurs godziwy
EV +18.82%
Przewaga +1.45%
Kelly +1.57%
Wzrost +0.295%
przy maksymalnym kursie 13.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.34%9.22%9.34%11.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.0010.1810.0013.0012.50%9.83%10.00%7.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze): 90.86%; Luka Pavlovic (Goście): 9.14%. Dla wyniku Luka Pavlovic (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.94. 12 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 13.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +18.82%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.68%E +0.807%K +0.880%G +0.085% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +7.85%E +0.666%K +0.727%G +0.057% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:07 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -2.20%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.03%E -0.384%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.31%E -0.616%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -6.77%E -0.664%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.44%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.03I 9.97%NM 9.56%EV -8.32%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.05%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.78%E -2.60%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.88%E -3.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |