Langue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Luka Pavlovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 90.86%1.10cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -39.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%90.78%90.66%92.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.24%95.24%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luka Pavlovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.14%10.94cote équitable
EV +18.82%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.295%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.34%9.22%9.34%11.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.1810.0013.0012.50%9.83%10.00%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Joao Fonseca (Local) : 90.86% ; Luka Pavlovic (Visiteur) : 9.14%. Pour Luka Pavlovic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.94. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +18.82%.
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.68%E +0.807%K +0.880%G +0.085% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +7.85%E +0.666%K +0.727%G +0.057% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:07 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -2.20%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.03%E -0.384%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.31%E -0.616%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -6.77%E -0.664%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.44%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.03I 9.97%NM 9.56%EV -8.32%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.05%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.78%E -2.60%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.88%E -3.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |