مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Joao Fonseca v Luka Pavlovic
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Joao Fonseca (المضيف)
التنبؤ 90.86%1.10السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -2.60%
Kelly -39.72%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.07
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
88.30%90.78%90.66%92.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.24%95.24%93.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Luka Pavlovic (الضيف)
التنبؤ 9.14%10.94السعر العادل
EV +18.82%
الأفضلية +1.45%
Kelly +1.57%
النمو +0.295%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.34%9.22%9.34%11.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0010.1810.0013.0012.50%9.83%10.00%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.68%E +0.807%K +0.880%G +0.085% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +7.85%E +0.666%K +0.727%G +0.057% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:07 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -2.20%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.03%E -0.384%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.31%E -0.616%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -6.77%E -0.664%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| GTbets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.44%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.03I 9.97%NM 9.56%EV -8.32%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| Unibet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| Casumo | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 14:57 |
| betPARX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.05%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.78%E -2.60%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| TAB | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Caesars | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.88%E -3.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:09 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |