Die Wettquotenschule

Joao Fonseca v Luka Pavlovic

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-24 15:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 90.86%1.10faire Quote
EV -2.78%
Vorteil -2.60%
Kelly -39.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.30%90.78%90.66%92.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.031.051.051.0797.09%95.24%95.24%93.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Luka Pavlovic (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.14%10.94faire Quote
EV +18.82%
Vorteil +1.45%
Kelly +1.57%
Wachstum +0.295%

bei einer Höchstquote von 13.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.34%9.22%9.34%11.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.0010.1810.0013.0012.50%9.83%10.00%7.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295%3.8%2026-05-24 15:19
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +18.82%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.295%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.68%E +0.807%K +0.880%G +0.085%3.6%2026-05-24 15:20
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 91.76%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.24%EV +7.85%E +0.666%K +0.727%G +0.057%2.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025%3.0%2026-05-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.11%E +0.445%K +0.487%G +0.025%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:09
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:07
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.543%E +0.049%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -2.20%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.03%E -0.384%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:09
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.31%E -0.616%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:20
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -6.77%E -0.664%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:10
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 90.44%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.03I 9.97%NM 9.56%EV -8.32%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:09
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:57
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:57
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:19
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:10
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.41%E -6.23%K -213.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -8.60%E -0.860%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 15:20
BetAnything1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -9.05%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:09
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 15:10
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.17%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.74%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:10
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.78%E -2.60%K -39.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:10
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:10
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.51%E -5.29%K -137.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -22.31%E -2.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -26.88%E -3.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.37%3.9%2026-05-24 15:20